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Queensland Rain: Quick ‘n’ Dirty Climatology

My last post, on the connection between the equatorial Pacific Ocean and the floods in Eastern Australia, closed with a graph of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) over the past 40 years, and with an...

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A Very Short Introduction to Time Series

Last week, I gave a presentation on the basics of time series statistics to an informal group of students in biology, forestry, and fisheries who meet every week to share tips and talk over problems...

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Must it be Santa? A case study in Bayesian updating

Ah, Christmas eve. A magical day when we reflect on the deep questions. Is there anything more valuable than family togetherness? What is the true meaning of the season? Who is that strange man...

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Do not flip-flop variables to make them work in your #@%*^& ANOVA

I was reading a paper this morning. It included a perversion of a common statistical analysis that is fundamentally wrong, utterly unneccesary, and has an easy solution. This perversion, unfortunately,...

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